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DTN Midday Grain Comments 10/29 10:54
Corn Futures Lower at Midday Wednesday; Soybeans, Wheat Narrowly Mixed
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures are
narrowly mixed; and wheat futures are narrowly mixed.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures are
narrowly mixed; and wheat futures are narrowly mixed. The U.S. stock market is
firmer at midday with the S&P up 12. The U.S. Dollar Index is 10 points higher.
The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is mixed with crude up .75
and natural gas is .05 lower. Livestock trade has cattle sharply higher after
the recent washout and hogs firmer. Precious metals are firmer with gold up
41.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower in quiet midday trade as we consolidate
at the upper end of the range after filling the gap Tuesday while spread action
continues to firm. Weekly ethanol production was 21,000 barrels per day lower
with stocks up by 500,000 barrels on the week. Harvest pace should pick back up
after the early week moisture. Fresh export sales are expected to remain active
given the recent shipping pace along with trade optimism. Basis should start
moving toward post-harvest levels into the beginning of November. On the
December chart, support is the 20-day moving average at $4.19, with the summer
gap filled at $4.33 and the next round up the recent high at $4.36 1/4.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are narrowly mixed with trade bouncing back from the early
selling as we consolidate ahead of expected further trade announcements. Meal
is 2.50 to 3.50 higher and oil is flat to 10 points higher. Harvest on
remaining acres should pick back up toward the end of the week. South American
weather looks to be a nonissue short term with Brazil continuing to see limited
concerns to start the growing season. Basis should start to firm if a trade
deal delivers a more normal fall export pace from here with talk of China
buying three cargos to kick off an export program. On the November chart,
resistance is the $10.91 area where we find the fresh high, with the Upper
Bollinger Band at $10.71, which we faded back to overnight as we saw profit
taking pick up.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are narrowly mixed as it looks to consolidate recent gains
after scoring multiweek highs Tuesday with the spillover from row crops
slowing. Weather should remain mostly favorable for the Plains short term with
a trend toward a little more seasonal weather on deck with drier weather in the
Southern Plains as emergence wraps up. MATIF wheat is softer this morning.
Southern Hemisphere wheat remains in good shape as harvest continues. On the KC
December chart, support is the Upper Bollinger Band at $5.17 that we jumped
above earlier in the week with the next round up the fall high at $5.25 scored
Tuesday and tested Wednesday morning.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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